Charles Jourdain enters Saturday’s UFC 331 bantamweight bout as a transparent betting favourite over Marlon “Chito” Vera, however Vera’s ending historical past and late-round hazard give the underdog a path to flip the combat. The higher pre-fight angle is Jourdain to win by choice, whereas bettors looking for a Vera ticket might discover extra safety within the spherical unfold than the outright upset.
UFC 331 takes place September 19 at Crypto.com Enviornment in Los Angeles, with the three-round Vera-Jourdain matchup scheduled for the preliminary card. The pairing was first booked for July earlier than being shifted to this occasion.
Jourdain has been priced from -216 to -250 throughout the market this week, whereas Vera has ranged from +182 to +200. That locations Jourdain round a two-to-one favourite. One present market projection places Jourdain at 65 % and Vera at 35 %. For readers who use decimal odds, Jourdain has appeared as excessive as 1.46, with Vera obtainable close to 2.85. Costs can change after Friday’s weigh-ins, so a quantity that appears good Wednesday might not be there on combat night time.
The straightforward learn is evident: bookmakers are pricing Jourdain’s current kind, exercise, and an independent look at possible output over Vera’s expertise. Jourdain was not too long ago ranked at spot twelve however has a chance to interrupt into the UFC’s high 10 record rankings with a victory.
Charles Jourdain vs. Marlon Vera Odds, Prediction and Finest Wager for UFC 331
Vera is 23-12-1 and has misplaced 4 straight, most recently by unanimous choice to David Martinez in February. Jourdain is 18-8-1 and has received three in a row, together with a unanimous-decision win over Kyler Phillips in April.
Jourdain has constructed momentum since transferring to bantamweight. He submitted Victor Henry and Davey Grant with guillotine chokes, then went quarter-hour with Phillips and received a call in a Struggle of the Night time efficiency. His 2026 win over Phillips confirmed he can preserve working via a full three-round combat relatively than counting on an early end.
Vera’s moneyline is a wager on expertise, sturdiness and moments. He has 18 profession finishes: eight by knockout and 10 by submission. He’s a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, has a slight attain edge at 70.5 inches to Jourdain’s 69 inches, and has spent way more time in high-level UFC fights.
A Jourdain moneyline wager is the safer straight play, however the value is already steep. A call prop is extra logical if it gives a significant return above the moneyline, as a result of Vera’s sturdiness has held up via a protracted UFC profession and all 12 of his skilled losses have come by choice.
For Vera backers, the extra conservative possibility is Vera +3.5 rounds on the scorecards if obtainable. That wager can money even in a aggressive Vera loss, and one betting evaluation recognized it as the popular Vera-side angle at -155.
