Su Mudaerji is the betting favorite when he meets Alex Perez in a flyweight rematch at UFC Struggle Night time: Nurmagomedov vs. Music on August 29 at Shanghai’s Oriental Sports activities Heart. The primary assembly lasted lower than seven minutes earlier than an unintended groin strike halted it, leaving bettors with helpful kind proof however no official winner.
Mudaerji is priced round -217 on the typical moneyline throughout 24 sportsbooks online casino bonus bez depozita, with Perez at +182. That places the Chinese language fighter at an implied 70 p.c though costs fluctuate: Mudaerji has been out there as quick as -235 and Perez as excessive as +194.
Their Could 30 bout ended as a no contest at 1:45 of spherical two after an unintended low blow. Till then, Mudaerji had been controlling a lot of the battle. He knocked Perez down, landed 26 of 53 vital strikes to Perez’s 9 of 45, and accomplished one in all two takedown makes an attempt. Perez tried a submission and had 32 seconds of management, however Mudaerji held a 1:11 control-time edge.
Su Mudaerji vs. Alex Perez UFC betting information
That sequence helps the market’s lean towards Mudaerji, although it doesn’t settle the rematch. Perez had restricted time to determine his wrestling, a route that continues to be central to his probabilities. A no contest is just not a win, and one abbreviated battle shouldn’t be handled as a full three-round pattern forward of the UFC Shanghai match.
Mudaerji brings a 19-7 file with one no contest, stands 5-foot-8, and owns a large seven-inch attain benefit over 5-foot-6 Perez. The southpaw lands 4.40 vital strikes per minute with 50 p.c accuracy, absorbs 2.29 per minute, and holds a 63 p.c hanging defence fee. He has gained his three accomplished fights earlier than the Perez no contest, all by resolution, over Mitch Raposo, Kevin Borjas and Jesus Aguilar.
Perez, 26-10 with one no contest, is the extra lively wrestler on paper. He averages 2.07 takedowns per quarter-hour, in contrast with Mudaerji’s 0.76, and makes an attempt 0.8 submissions per quarter-hour. Perez’s 74 p.c takedown defence is barely increased than Mudaerji’s 73 p.c, whereas his 65-inch attain leaves him needing to work via longer punches and kicks to achieve clinch vary.
The straight play is Mudaerji moneyline, however -217 is a value that requires confidence he can stop Perez from constructing sustained grappling sequences. His first-fight output and attain benefit make that case, but the road has already moved from a gap common close to -224, so bettors ought to search -210 or higher reasonably than chase a worse quantity.
Mudaerji by knockout/TKO at +175 deserves consideration. Perez’s wrestling menace decides doable, however Mudaerji already dropped him of their first encounter and Perez has been stopped by Taira and Joseph Benavidez throughout his UFC run. Hold the stake modest: Perez’s path to an upset is actual if he turns the battle into clinches, mat returns and submission exchanges.
