JJ Aldrich enters as a sizeable underdog towards unbeaten Regina Tarin at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado on Saturday, September 12, at Desert Diamond Enviornment in Glendale, Arizona. The betting market has moved towards Tarin since opening, but Aldrich’s expertise and decision-game file create a transparent path for an upset.
Tarin is the favourite within the girls’s flyweight bout, with the typical line sitting round -289. Aldrich is round +235. In sensible phrases, a $100 stake on Tarin at -289 would return about $34.60 in revenue if she wins, whereas a $100 play on Aldrich at +235 would return $235 in revenue.
UFC Betting: Regina Tarin Opens as Favourite In opposition to JJ Aldrich
The opening market was far tighter. Aldrich opened round +182 and Tarin round -268, earlier than the road shifted additional towards the 21-year-old Mexican. Present costs differ throughout the market: Aldrich has been listed from +215 to +260, whereas Tarin ranges from roughly -245 to -319 with https://offshorebettingappfinder.com and different books. That distinction is important for bettors. At the most effective obtainable finish of the vary, Aldrich’s +260 value returns $260 revenue on a $100 guess; at +201, the identical stake returns solely $201.
Tarin brings an 8-0 skilled file, a 1-0 UFC mark, and a six-inch top benefit over Aldrich. She is listed at 5-foot-7 with a 66-inch attain, whereas Aldrich stands 5-foot-5 with a 67-inch attain. Each combat from southpaw stance, so the matchup might characteristic a much less common open-stance look regardless of the small attain edge for the veteran.
Her UFC debut got here in February, when she beat Ernesta Kareckaite by unanimous resolution after taking the bout on brief discover. The scorecards have been 30-27, 30-27 and 29-28. That outcome prolonged Tarin‘s unbeaten run and gave bettors a current three-round pattern towards UFC-level opposition.
Aldrich, 33, is 15-7 and has competed within the UFC since 2016. Her current type consists of unanimous-decision wins over Jamey-Lyn Horth in April and Andrea Lee in March 2025. She additionally owns UFC victories over Gillian Robertson, Vanessa Demopoulos, Cortney Casey and Montana De La Rosa.
That have is the central case for the underdog. Aldrich has been by 17 UFC fights, whereas Tarin has had one. Aldrich has gained 12 of her 15 skilled fights by resolution, and 10 of her UFC victories went to the judges. A managed combat at vary, regular counters and well timed wrestling may make this a lot nearer than the worth suggests.
For bettors, Tarin by resolution suits the market’s expectation of a favourite who wins minutes quite than chases a end. Aldrich by resolution is the underdog route with the clearest statistical logic. The moneyline value makes Aldrich attention-grabbing provided that a bettor believes her UFC expertise, defensive numbers and skill to show fights into shut rounds can outweigh Tarin’s velocity and quantity. Odds can change earlier than combat evening, so any wager needs to be checked once more after weigh-ins.
