Max Holloway opens as a large favourite within the early betting strains for UFC 329’s important occasion, with Conor McGregor listed as a major underdog heading into his five-year return to the octagon. This welterweight bout at 170 kilos headlines UFC 329 on July 11, 2026, at T-Cell Area in Las Vegas throughout Worldwide Struggle Week.
Holloway’s odds vary from -410 to -550 throughout main sportsbooks, making him one of many heaviest favorites in current UFC important occasion historical past. The most typical line reveals Holloway at -450, which means bettors must danger $450 to win $100. McGregor’s odds sit between +290 and +350, with +350 being probably the most ceaselessly cited quantity. At +350, a $100 guess on McGregor would payout $350 if he wins.
The B2B sports betting technology market strongly favors a end over judges’ choice. The struggle not going the space is priced at -400, indicating bookmakers anticipate a knockout or submission. Holloway profitable by KO/TKO is probably the most possible single end result at -148, whereas Holloway to win by KO/TKO particularly sits at -90 on prediction markets. McGregor profitable by KO/TKO is on the market at +49, displaying the market offers him slim knockout possibilities.
Early Betting Odds UFC 329 Most important Occasion: Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway
These marks characterize the longest underdog odds McGregor has confronted in his whole UFC profession. The implied likelihood places Holloway at roughly 82% to win, whereas McGregor sits round 22-31%.
This match marks McGregor’s first look since breaking his leg at UFC 264 in July 2021, a five-year layoff that instantly drives the betting odds. Holloway makes his welterweight debut, having beforehand competed at featherweight the place he captured the title and some current wins within the light-weight division.
The fighters beforehand met on August 17, 2013, at UFC Struggle Night time 26 in a featherweight prelim, the place McGregor gained by unanimous choice in his second UFC bout. That struggle occurred whereas McGregor fought with a torn ACL he sustained within the second spherical.
Daniel Cormier expressed doubt about McGregor’s possibilities, noting that “you don’t get higher at one thing by not doing it” and that 5 years away from the octagon creates a large hurdle even when McGregor is motivated. Joe Rogan believes Holloway will profit from the welterweight stipulation, giving the Hawaiian the benefit.
UFC 329 is about for July 11 in Las Vegas, and if the chances maintain, this important occasion might be one of many greatest betting mismatches in current UFC historical past, with followers taking the lengthy shot and the market taking the boxer with the machine-gun arms.
