When Dana White introduced this battle in late November, sportsbooks didn’t waste time opening the boards. Kayla Harrison checked in as a -155 favourite at with some sportsbooks, with Amanda Nunes sitting at +130. It was a good hole, Harrison favored, however not overwhelmingly so. The UFC’s bantamweight champ, contemporary off her June submission victory over Julianna Peña, was being handled because the slight edge. Nunes, getting back from two-and-a-half years away, was offered as a stay underdog.
That didn’t keep static for lengthy. Inside days, most books had Harrison nearer to -162 territory, which pushed Nunes towards +136 to +142. The narrative appeared settled: youth and momentum on one facet, expertise and ring rust on the opposite. Harrison was the transfer for favorites. By mid-December, the road tightened additional. Some books had been exhibiting Harrison at -204 to -213, a major shift. The hole widened however one can see bonuses here.
Nunes was now a sterner proposition, more durable to justify at +145 or +160. For anybody contemplating the underdog, the worth window was closing quick. Numerous books had settled into the -155 vary by early December.
Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes Early Odds
Come late December, the strains began transferring in sudden instructions throughout totally different outlets. Books had Harrison starting from -225 right down to -185, relying on the wager kind, with Nunes anyplace from +189 to +160. Others confirmed -177 and +140. The variation suggests the market was reassessing. Betting trade painted an excellent tighter image in decimal odds: Harrison at 1.44 (roughly -305 in American), Nunes at 2.38, implying one thing nearer to a 60-40 proposition while you strip out the vigorish.
The opening consensus had Harrison at roughly 60% likelihood. By December, relying the place you seemed, that would swing to 65-67%, then again down towards 58-60% on sure books. The reverse line motion, sharps fading the favourite, seeing worth in Nunes, suggests this isn’t a blowout matchup. The general public likes Harrison, the oddsmakers concur, however not with overwhelming conviction.
That’s the stress: can Harrison drag this to the bottom with out consuming a clear counter? Can Nunes preserve her ft lengthy sufficient to land the shot that ends it? The percentages mirror real uncertainty about which model wins.
UFC 324 goes down Saturday, January 24, 2026, at T-Cell Enviornment in Las Vegas. The card airs on Paramount+ at 9 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. PT as the primary numbered UFC occasion underneath the promotion’s new media rights deal. Harrison and Nunes sq. off within the co-main occasion, with Justin Gaethje taking up Paddy Pimblett for the interim light-weight title within the headliner.
