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    You are at:Home»MMA (Mixed Martial Arts)»How Carlos Ulberg Beats The Bookies At UFC 327
    MMA (Mixed Martial Arts)

    How Carlos Ulberg Beats The Bookies At UFC 327

    Ironside Sports MediaBy Ironside Sports MediaApril 15, 2026No Comments4 Mins Read
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    When Carlos Ulberg walked into the Kaseya Middle in Miami on April 11, 2026, most bookmakers had him because the underdog. He left because the UFC Gentle Heavyweight Champion, and he did it on one working leg.

    When the battle was first introduced, some books opened with Jiří Procházka as a -142 favorite, inserting Ulberg at +120 to win the vacant 205-pound title. That pricing with https://betpokies.co.nz made sense on paper. Procházka was a former champion who had gone 2-0 in 2025, knocking out Jamahal Hill and Khalil Rountree Jr. in consecutive outings. He had solely ever misplaced within the UFC to Alex Pereira, and Pereira had since vacated the belt to maneuver to heavyweight.

    How Carlos Ulberg Beat the Odds at UFC 327

    As battle week approached, the strains shifted considerably. By the point the primary card aired, the identical books had tightened the hole significantly, itemizing Procházka at -118 and Ulberg at -102, barely any distance between them. Others had Procházka at -120 and Ulberg at +100 as of April 10. On the European decimal odds markets, websites had Procházka at 1.83 and Ulberg at 2.00, reflecting an implied chance of roughly 56.3% for Procházka and 47.6% for Ulberg.

    The case for Procházka was easy. He claimed the UFC mild heavyweight title in June 2022 with a fifth-round submission of Glover Teixeira at UFC 275, changing into the primary Czech fighter to win a UFC championship. He had 23 first-round finishes throughout his profession and had by no means gone to a call contained in the UFC octagon. His two losses got here in opposition to Pereira solely, with each ending by TKO within the second spherical. Coming into UFC 327, he had reeled off back-to-back finishes in 2025 and was seen as essentially the most harmful finisher within the division.

    Ulberg, in the meantime, carried a nine-fight successful streak however had by no means fought for a UFC title earlier than. His solely UFC loss was a second-round knockout to Kennedy Nzechukwu again in March 2021 at UFC 259. Since that defeat he had overwhelmed the likes of Jan Błachowicz by resolution, Volkan Oezdemir by resolution, and Alonzo Menifield in simply 12 seconds. The win over Menifield was one of many quickest knockouts in mild heavyweight historical past. This was adopted up with a win over Jan Błachowicz and a KO win over Dominick Reyes. However analysts nonetheless questioned whether or not Ulberg had been examined on the similar stage as a multiple-time title challenger.

    The battle went sideways for Ulberg nearly instantly. Throughout an alternate within the opening minute, his proper knee buckled as he stepped backward and he slipped to the canvas. Replays confirmed the damage appeared to happen from a clumsy touchdown slightly than a direct strike. Dana White instructed reporters post-fight that the knee damage could possibly be an ACL tear, although no formal prognosis had been confirmed on the time of writing.

    MIAMI, FLORIDA – APRIL 11: (R-L) Carlos Ulberg of New Zealand kicks Jiri Prochazka of the Czech Republic within the UFC mild heavyweight championship battle throughout the UFC 327 occasion at Kaseya Middle on April 11, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Picture by Ed Mulholland/Zuffa LLC)

    Procházka noticed the injury and started concentrating on Ulberg’s legs, repeatedly firing low kicks to drive him into exchanges the place one-legged motion would price him. Ulberg struggled to remain upright, slumping in opposition to the cage on a number of events. To most observers, the battle gave the impression to be heading towards a stoppage in favour of the Czech fighter. The bookmakers had flagged below 2.5 rounds because the probably final result at -115 earlier than the battle, and the motion gave the impression to be heading there quick.

    Then Ulberg steadied himself in opposition to the cage fence, waited, and landed a counter left hook that dropped Procházka chilly. He adopted up with strikes on the bottom and the battle was waved off at 3:45 of the primary spherical.

    Carlos Ulberg at UFC 327
    MIAMI, FLORIDA – APRIL 11: Carlos Ulberg of New Zealand reacts after a knockout victory in opposition to Jiri Prochazka of the Czech Republic within the UFC mild heavyweight championship battle throughout the UFC 327 occasion at Kaseya Middle on April 11, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Picture by Ed Mulholland/Zuffa LLC)

    The victory over Procházka prolonged that run to 10 straight contained in the UFC. He grew to become the nineteenth fighter to carry the undisputed UFC mild heavyweight title and joined Adesanya and Volkanovski as Metropolis Kickboxing’s UFC champions. The books had him as a modest underdog. The battle had him on one leg inside the primary minute. He received anyway.



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