Raul Rosas Jr. has change into an enormous betting favourite over Raoni Barcelos forward of their UFC bantamweight primary occasion on September 26 on the META Apex in Las Vegas. The 21-year-old Rosas is listed round -1011, whereas Barcelos sits close to +133, a worth hole that factors to a pointy divide between the market’s view of youth and up to date wins versus veteran kind and expertise. Rosas vs. Barcelos is a five-round bantamweight headliner.
The betting line suggests Rosas shall be anticipated to win, however the technique market ought to draw extra curiosity than the straight moneyline. A submission is the cleanest match along with his profession historical past. Rosas has completed half of his wins by tapout, whereas he has by no means been stopped by knockout or submission in his lone defeat. A Rosas resolution is one other dwell angle if Barcelos’ defensive grappling turns the combat into lengthy clinch sequences and resets.
The present market with the Best Canadian betting sites has positioned Rosas in four-figure favourite territory. That makes the moneyline arduous to justify for bettors searching for worth; a bettor would wish to threat roughly $1,011 to revenue $100 at -1011. A $100 wager on Barcelos at +133 would return about $133 in revenue if he wins.
Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Raoni Barcelos Odds
Rosas enters at 12-1 after a unanimous-decision win over former title challenger Rob Font in March. That end result gave him his greatest UFC victory and confirmed a unique aspect of a fighter normally related to quick takedowns, again takes, and submission searching. His 12 skilled wins embrace six by submission, 4 by resolution, and two by knockout or TKO.
Barcelos will not be arriving as a fading identify being fed to a prospect. He’s 22-5 and has received 5 straight, together with choices over Cody Garbrandt, Ricky Simon, and Montel Jackson. He beat Jackson by break up resolution in April, touchdown six takedowns whereas surviving a knockdown. Earlier than that, he outpointed Simon and Garbrandt over three rounds. That run has given Barcelos a case as one of many extra sturdy underdogs on the cardboard, particularly for bettors who consider Rosas’ quantity has climbed too far.
Rosas is the probably winner as a result of his takedown quantity, age, and momentum give him extra methods to manage the combat throughout 5 rounds. The decide is Rosas by submission, with the second or third spherical providing essentially the most pure window as soon as repeated wrestling exchanges start to tax Barcelos. Barcelos by resolution stays the underdog consequence price watching, notably if he retains the bout standing early and makes Rosas work for each entry.
