The betting strains for UFC 324’s foremost occasion confirmed uncommon stability, with Paddy Pimblett sustaining his place as favourite towards Justin Gaethje from the second odds opened till battle evening. Bookmakers priced Pimblett between -210 and -239, giving him an implied win chance of 67 to 70 p.c. Gaethje opened as a +175 to +195 underdog, together with his chance of victory hovering round 33 to 36 p.c.
UFC 324 Odds: The Market Never Doubted Paddy Pimblett
Pimblett’s grappling credentials drive the pricing. Ten of his professional wins came by submission, and oddsmakers installed him at 6/4 to 31/20 to finish Gaethje on the mat. Those numbers reflect a specific liability: Gaethje’s two submission losses to Khabib Nurmagomedov and Charles Oliveira demonstrated his vulnerability when fights hit the ground. Pimblett averages 1.7 submissions per quarter-hour, and his skill to create scrambles from unconventional positions makes him harmful as soon as the battle leaves the ft. Check out more numbers and games at crash duel x slot.
This restricted motion stands out for a championship fight, notably one that includes a former interim champion towards a rising contender. The market confidence stemmed from Pimblett’s good UFC file since his 2021 debut, the place he compiled seven consecutive victories. His most up-to-date efficiency, a TKO win over Michael Chandler, bolstered his standing as a respectable title risk slightly than a promotional undertaking.
Gaethje’s underdog status acknowledges his experience but also his recent trajectory. The 37-year-old holds nine Fight of the Night awards and twenty knockout victories, yet his 68 percent takedown defense leaves openings for skilled grapplers. He enters UFC 324 off a knockout loss to Max Holloway at UFC 300, although he rebounded with a win over Rafael Fiziev. The market seems to weigh his age and mileage towards Pimblett’s six-year youth benefit and momentum.
While Gaethje by knockout sits at 10/3 to 4/1, Pimblett’s submission line attracts more action at 6/4. Round betting shows bookmakers expect Pimblett to find success early and often: his Round 1 odds sit at 4/1, while Gaethje’s opening round knockout pays 10/1. These prices indicate the market expects Pimblett to dictate the terms of engagement, forcing Gaethje to defend takedowns and submission attempts rather than implementing his pressure striking.
The stability of these odds suggests bookmakers and sharp bettors reached consensus quickly. Unlike typical main events where lines shift based on public money or injury news, the UFC 324 headliner noticed minimal adjustment. This consensus displays a shared view that Pimblett’s undefeated UFC run, mixed with Gaethje’s documented submission vulnerabilities, creates a transparent favourite regardless of the challenger dealing with his hardest take a look at up to now.
