UFC 321 options with a rematch for the vacant strawweight title as Mackenzie Dern meets Virna Jandiroba in Abu Dhabi. Their first encounter showcased contrasting grappling kinds and left unanswered questions on who might management the battle on the mat. Jandiroba arrives with a confirmed monitor report of takedown effectivity and championship distance expertise, whereas Dern brings elite jiu-jitsu transitions and improved placing to the Octagon. As each fighters search the last word prize, their floor exchanges and submission makes an attempt will decide who claims the strawweight crown.
Mackenzie Dern vs. Virna Jandiroba Odds
Bookmakers opened this UFC 321 co-main occasion as a transparent favourite for Virna Jandiroba, however current line motion suggests a tighter contest. Jandiroba initially held the betting edge at -215, whereas Dern was listed at +164. Present odds sit at roughly -120 for Jandiroba and +112 for Dern, reflecting a 28.2 p.c swing towards the American-Brazilian challenger and indicating vital betting help for Dern’s possibilities. Verify extra numbers with NoLimit City Slots.
Jandiroba’s favourite tag stems from her elite grappling credentials. A black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, she averages 4.57 takedowns per quarter-hour with a 50 p.c success price and has completed 14 of twenty-two profession wins by submission. Her current outing in opposition to Yan Xiaonan bolstered her potential to dictate the place the battle takes place, as she managed the bout by takedowns and submission threats, finally breaking Xiaonan’s rhythm within the championship rounds.
Dern, however, enters this rematch off the back of technical improvements in both striking and fight IQ. While her submission résumé contains eight MMA finishes, spanning rear-naked chokes, armbars and a kneebar, she has diversified her strategy with extra confidence within the stand-up sport.
Dern’s vital placing accuracy is roughly 38 p.c, and he or she absorbs 2.73 vital strikes per minute, suggesting a capability to outlive and counter in placing exchanges. Her tactical endurance was on full show throughout her most up-to-date armbar end.
Methodology-of-victory markets favor a submission final result, given the rivals’ shared grappling backgrounds. A wagering outlook that emphasizes ground-based ending potential aligns with Jandiroba’s 63.6 p.c submission price and Dern’s 53.3 p.c submission ratio when fights go to the mat. Whereas Jandiroba stays the betting favourite, the narrowing odds underscore rising confidence in Dern’s potential to neutralize Jandiroba’s takedown entries and impose her personal floor assaults.
In terms of winner predictions, most sportsbooks list Jandiroba as a slight favorite, but sharp money has driven the lines for Dern toward near-evens. The margin is narrow enough that bettors are weighing Jandiroba’s consistent wrestling output against Dern’s high-level jiu-jitsu transitions once under hooks. Given the championship distance of five rounds, Jandiroba’s proven cardio and takedown volume give her the edge in wrestling exchanges, but Dern’s submission threat remains a constant equalizer.
In summary, Virna Jandiroba is positioned as the betting favorite at -120, while Mackenzie Dern is the underdog at +112 after significant market movement toward Dern’s camp. Submission is the most likely method of victory, reflecting both fighters’ grappling arsenals. The title is on the line in Abu Dhabi, and oddsmakers suggest a close battle where takedown volume and ground control will decide which elite grappler becomes the new UFC strawweight champion.
