There should not many positions in skilled sports activities extra beneficial and essential than NFL beginning quarterback. For higher or worse, QBs decide the instructions of franchises.
In case you have an amazing one, your workforce is at all times going to be in competition for a Tremendous Bowl. If you don’t, it actually does not matter who else is on the roster as a result of the workforce’s ceiling will likely be restricted.
A whole lot of groups suppose they’ve a Tremendous Bowl-caliber QB, however solely a handful do. Of the 32 beginning quarterbacks within the NFL this season, solely 9 have began a Tremendous Bowl and solely six have gained one. Each lists embrace Pittsburgh’s Aaron Rodgers, the New York Giants’ Russell Wilson and Cleveland’s Joe Flacco, every of whom is now not a Tremendous Bowl-caliber QB.
So let’s break the league down into tiers of groups that know they’ve their franchise quarterbacks, groups that hope and suppose they do and groups which might be caught in both no-man’s land or with no hope in any respect.
Don’t consider this as a 1-32 rating. Consider it as the extent of confidence a workforce ought to have in whether or not or not its starter can win a Tremendous Bowl this season. (* denotes has performed in a Tremendous Bowl | S* denotes has gained at the very least one Tremendous Bowl. Los Angeles Rams backup Jimmy Garoppolo has additionally began in a Tremendous Bowl.)
Groups that know they’ve their man (5)
Mahomes is climbing towards GOAT territory and Burrow is being wasted by an incompetent franchise. Whereas Hurts might be the worst of those 5 quarterbacks, he’s nonetheless excellent, an ideal match for Philadelphia’s run-heavy type of play. He has proved he can play when the lights are the brightest.
Jackson and Allen nonetheless should get to a Tremendous Bowl, and Jackson nonetheless should play higher in large moments, however they’re MVP-caliber gamers. These groups are set for the foreseeable future.
Groups that suppose they’ve their man (eight)
This tier of gamers options younger stars who’ve performed nice early on however nonetheless must show themselves over time (Daniels, Stroud) and good gamers who want some kind of signature large second (Love, Nix, Goff, Herbert, Purdy) to determine themselves. In some circumstances, the pattern dimension is simply too small.
Stafford is an attention-grabbing case as a result of when wholesome, he must be within the high tier, however accidents (again harm this season) are mounting for him, so he is a wild card.
This 12 months’s Tremendous Bowl champion is more likely to come from one in all these high two tiers.
Groups that hope they’ve their man (six)
This tier is filled with current high picks. They’re all gifted. All of them have potential and large upside. They’re all additionally largely unproven and haven’t but established themselves. However for now, they’re the face of their franchise. Their story continues to be being written. You possibly can imagine in them, however you possibly can’t be assured in what they’re simply but. Some will succeed. One or two may win a Tremendous Bowl.
Groups caught in no-man’s land (5)
These are all competent beginning quarterbacks. You might definitely do worse. You might additionally definitely do higher, and that’s the downside. This group is sweet, nevertheless it’s most likely not ok to win all of it, and all of them are locked into long-term offers through which there isn’t a straightforward strategy to get out of them anytime quickly. Mayfield’s contract is not too overbearing long run, nevertheless it has $61 million in useless cash for 2026 if the Bucs wished to maneuver on after this season.
Groups wandering within the darkness (eight)
A few of these guys may play properly this season. Most is not going to. Both manner, none of those gamers are long-term options and many of the groups are caught in a revolving door of quarterback mediocrity with no long-term options on the horizon.