Brandon Moreno returns to residence soil in Mexico Metropolis on 28 February, headlining UFC Combat Evening in opposition to rising English flyweight Lone’er Kavanagh in a five-round most important occasion at Area CDMX. The bout got here collectively after Asu Almabaev withdrew, with Kavanagh stepping up from a deliberate undercard task to face a former champion in a battle that would reshape the highest of the 125lb division.
Moreno enters because the betting favorite throughout main sportsbooks comparable to online pokies australia, sometimes priced within the -190 to -225 vary on the moneyline. The market sees him as having roughly a 65-70% probability of victory.
Kavanagh sits round +160 to +185, providing underdog worth for bettors who consider the 26-year-old can engineer an upset in opposition to the No. 5-ranked flyweight. Early odds opened shorter on Moreno earlier than edging barely towards Kavanagh as motion got here in on the youthful fighter.
Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh Odds
Merchants lean towards a call somewhat than a fast end. Methodology-of-victory odds shade Mexico’s Moreno by resolution because the likeliest end result, with Moreno by resolution sometimes sitting shorter than Moreno inside the space, adopted by Moreno by submission after which by knockout. Kavanagh’s most revered path out there is a KO/TKO.
The stakes are clear for Moreno. He’s the primary Mexican-born UFC champion and a former two-time flyweight titleholder, now attempting to rebound from a December knockout loss to Tatsuro Taira that halted his push again to a title shot.
For Kavanagh, that is the most important alternative of his profession by far. The London-based prospect holds a 9-1 document and is ranked No. 15 at flyweight, with 4 knockouts on his ledger and up to date UFC wins over Felipe dos Santos and Jose Ochoa by resolution. His momentum was checked by a knockout loss to Charles Johnson in Shanghai final yr.
Stepping in right here on brief discover provides him a shortcut to the highest if he can silence the group and take out a former champion. British media have framed it as a high-risk, high-reward journey into hostile territory for the 26-year-old.
Moreno has considerably extra five-round expertise, a deeper resume in opposition to ranked opponents and residential benefit in a metropolis the place he has already produced high-output performances. Kavanagh brings youth and pace as a dwell underdog but in addition flag how steep the climb is in opposition to a former champion with confirmed cardio and sturdiness. As issues stand, the market leans towards Moreno by resolution, with Kavanagh’s knockout odds providing essentially the most aggressive value for bettors focusing on an upset in Mexico Metropolis.
