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    You are at:Home»Sports Trends»Bet the Under on Aaron Judge’s home run total for 2025
    Sports Trends

    Bet the Under on Aaron Judge’s home run total for 2025

    Ironside Sports MediaBy Ironside Sports MediaMarch 14, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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    Will Hill

    FOX Sports Betting Analyst

    Simply 5 months in the past, Juan Soto hit a dramatic, two-out, two-strike, three-run house run to interrupt a 2-2 tie within the ninth inning of Recreation 5 of the ALCS. 

    That helped ship the New York Yankees to their first World Sequence in 15 years.

    For Yankees followers, it was pretty much as good because it will get — maybe greater than they might think about in the intervening time. 

    However then, the Yankees misplaced the World Sequence to the Dodgers. 

    They let a number of leads in Recreation 1 slip away, together with being one out away from a win after they surrendered a walk-off grand slam to Freddie Freeman. 

    That sequence ended with the Yankees as soon as once more blowing a number of leads, this time in Recreation 5. In that recreation, New York led 5-0 within the fifth inning, earlier than a number of errors on seemingly routine performs led to the undoing. That allowed the Dodgers to tie the sport. 

    The Yankees would pull forward later within the contest, solely to relinquish that lead as nicely and value themselves an opportunity to return to Los Angeles for Recreation 6.

    As painful because the end to the season was for the Yankees, this offseason has seen the wound of the World Sequence get handled with a New York-sized dose of salt. 

    In December, the aforementioned Soto determined to remain within the Massive Apple however switched leagues and groups, signing a mega-contract with the Mets. 

    Whereas the Yankees made a handful of extensively praised strikes in an try to offset the lack of Soto, a lot of the passion for these strikes has subsided. After a tough spring outing, ace Gerrit Cole sought opinions on an achy elbow, culminating in a call to get Tommy John surgical procedure. 

    Cole’s season ended earlier than it started.

    Then you’ve got slugger Giancarlo Stanton. He’s coping with not one however two achy elbows, has not participated in baseball actions and has not dominated out getting surgical procedure. Like Cole, surgical procedure would finish his season. 

    Oh, and reigning AL Rookie of the Yr Luis Gil can be out a number of months with a shoulder damage, and it’s unclear when he’ll have the ability to return to the mound. 

    So the place’s the guess to be made amidst all this doom and gloom?

    Definitely, the Yankees lacking the playoffs at +200 odds is intriguing, contemplating what a nightmare winter it has been. In case you’re in search of an extended payout, possibly right-handed Yankees pitcher Will Warren — who seems to be like he’ll take Cole’s spot within the rotation — is value a shot to win Rookie of the Yr at 15-1, though that quantity has been slashed for the reason that Cole information broke. 

    Of all these, I like Aaron Judge Underneath 47.5 house runs probably the most.

    Aaron Decide Underneath 47.5 house runs (FanDuel)

    Decide walked a league-leading 133 occasions final yr, and that was in a lineup with Soto and Stanton. With these two guys not close to him within the lineup so as to add visitors and safety like final yr, groups can be extremely cautious pitching to Decide, making it laborious for the reigning MVP to duplicate his unbelievable numbers from 2024. 

    Additionally, Decide can be 34 in April, and regardless of being within the league for nearly a decade now, he has solely had 500 plate appearances 4 occasions in his profession. 

    For a workforce that has already been bitten by the damage bug, it’s not inconceivable that the big-bodied Decide has to overlook a number of weeks right here and there, which might additionally strengthen the possibilities of cashing this Underneath 47.5 homers guess. 

    With out a lot round him by way of assist in that lineup, and the potential of damage, betting on Decide to not hit 48 house runs is a wager value making.

    Will Hill, a contributor on the Bears Bets Podcast, has been betting on sports activities for over a decade. He’s a betting analyst who has been a bunch on VSiN, in addition to the Goldboys Community. 

    Need nice tales delivered proper to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, and comply with leagues, groups and gamers to obtain a personalised e-newsletter day by day!


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