Former bantamweight champion Sean O’Malley enters UFC 324 because the clear favourite in opposition to Track Yadong of their January 24 co-main occasion at T-Cell Enviornment in Las Vegas. The percentages paint an image of a aggressive putting battle that leans towards O’Malley, although not overwhelmingly.
Sean O’Malley vs. Son Yadong Odds
Sportsbooks have priced O’Malley between -190 and -240 throughout main platforms, with Track Yadong sitting at +164 to +206 because the underdog. These strains translate to implied win possibilities within the low 60 % vary for O’Malley and mid-30s for Yadong. Verify extra numbers and video games with Pinko.
The early numbers opened round -200 for O’Malley, following his latest losses, and +170 for Yadong earlier than trending barely towards the favourite as betting motion arrived.
The knockout odds inform an fascinating story about how this battle may unfold. O’Malley to win by knockout or technical knockout is priced between +275 and +333, whereas Yadong’s knockout odds vary from +400 to +650. Resolution props present O’Malley by determination at +100 to +125, in comparison with Yadong by determination on the a lot wider +300 to +325. Methodology of victory markets favor a choice end result at -175, with knockout or technical knockout at +150 and submission as an extended shot at +1000.
O’Malley holds vital bodily benefits that issue into these odds. He stands 5’11” with a 72-inch attain, giving him a three-inch peak edge and five-inch attain benefit over the 5’8″ Yadong. This permits O’Malley to manage distance and decide photographs from vary, the place his putting quantity and accuracy shine. O’Malley averages 7.67 vital strikes landed per minute at bantamweight, putting him among the many division’s highest output fighters. His putting accuracy sits at an elite 61.5 %.
Yadong presents completely different threats regardless of the underdog standing. The 28-year-old Chinese language fighter has 9 profession knockout wins and 7 first-round finishes. He enters the bout using momentum from a technical determination victory over former two-division champion Henry Cejudo in February 2025, although an unintentional eye poke marred that end result. Yadong has absorbed simply two losses in his final eight UFC appearances, each coming in opposition to former champion Petr Yan and high contender Cory Sandhagen.
O’Malley seeks to rebound from consecutive title losses to Merab Dvalishvili, the second ending in a submission defeat in June 2025. A dominant win might place him for a rematch with new champion Petr Yan, an opponent O’Malley controversially defeated by cut up determination in 2022. For Yadong, a victory over the previous champion would elevate him from top-10 gatekeeper to reputable title contender in one of many division’s best eras.
Yadong’s energy and ahead strain make him a dwell underdog, however the betting markets counsel O’Malley’s attain, quantity, and technical precision give him a number of paths to victory. Whether or not the end comes or the battle goes the gap, UFC 324 affords O’Malley an opportunity to remind the bantamweight division why he held the title, whereas Yadong appears to be like to drag off the upset that might launch him into championship rivalry.
