Reinier de Ridder enters Saturday’s UFC Combat Night time fundamental occasion, on October 18, because the consensus favourite, however Brendan Allen’s credentials and ability set depart room for worth on the underdog line.
The Dutch-born De Ridder, unbeaten within the UFC and using a five-fight successful streak courting to his ONE Championship days, is predicted to lean on his grappling to neutralize Allen’s assorted offense. Allen, in the meantime, holds refined benefits in endurance and up to date octagon exercise. Here’s a detailed take a look at the betting panorama, fighter matchups, and key components shaping the traces for this middleweight showdown at Rogers Enviornment in Vancouver.
Throughout main sportsbooks, de Ridder’s moneyline has fluctuated between -155 and -185, whereas Allen’s line ranges from +135 to +143. For these trying to maximize their wagering alternatives, utilizing a Bet365 Bonus Code can add further worth when enjoying the percentages. The consensus favourite likelihood sits close to 62%, whereas Allen’s odds suggest roughly a 42% likelihood to upset. Line motion towards de Ridder displays bettors’ confidence in his grappling and undefeated UFC mark, although some worth stays on Allen because the underdog.
Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen Odds
At 34 years outdated, de Ridder stands 6’4″ with a 78″ attain. A southpaw grappler with world-class submission expertise, he has completed 4 of his final 5 opponents and earned a split-decision over Robert Whittaker in July. De Ridder excels in takedown quantity and management, averaging 4.5 takedowns per quarter-hour, and his hanging accuracy limits harm absorbed.
Allen, age 29, measures 6’2″ with a 75″ attain. He blends grappling with competent boxing, securing 5 UFC finishes. Allen’s cardio is excessive contemplating he fights at a better tempo, making him sturdy in later rounds. Allen most not too long ago halted Marvin Vettori at UFC 318 and seeks to string collectively one other high-profile win.
Reinier de Ridder presents a transparent submission menace in opposition to Allen. He has secured 4 submission victories in his final six outings and is priced round -120 to win by submission on a number of books. Brendan Allen’s sturdiness and tendency to see fights by way of to the ultimate bell, nevertheless, make a de Ridder resolution an interesting possibility at roughly +200. Bettors who anticipate Allen avoiding early submission makes an attempt could discover worth in a combat that goes the gap.
“RDR” De Ridder usually imposes his grappling early and has completed opponents in opening rounds, however Allen’s resilience previous Spherical 2 can’t be ignored. For these searching for longer odds, a end in Spherical 3 or later provides upside: de Ridder to win in Spherical 3+ sits close to +275, whereas Allen to complete late is priced round +800. These markets reward endurance and an appreciation for the fighters’ contrasting endurance profiles.
Key prop wagers deal with de Ridder’s takedown quantity and Allen’s hanging output. De Ridder averages 4.5 takedowns per quarter-hour, making the over 2.5 takedowns market at -150 a powerful consideration. On the hanging entrance, Allen’s larger tempo suggests he’ll land greater than 50.5 vital strikes, with that over/underneath line usually set at -110. Bettors can exploit these effectivity metrics even when the principle moneyline shifts nearer to de Ridder.
De Ridder’s submission chain and management on the mat current the clearest path to victory. Ought to he safe early takedowns, Allen’s success hinges on scrambles and returning the combat to hanging exchanges. Allen’s finest highway to an upset lies in pressuring the middle, mixing strikes with well timed stage adjustments, and forcing de Ridder into size exchanges the place strikes could deter takedown makes an attempt.
Reinier de Ridder grew up in Breda, Netherlands, starting judo at age six and incomes a black belt in his teenagers. Whereas pursuing a level in bodily remedy, he added Brazilian jiu-jitsu to his coaching and achieved black belt standing. De Ridder constructed his early MMA résumé in European regional promotions, compiling stoppage wins earlier than signing with ONE Championship in 2019. In ONE, he captured each the middleweight and lightweight heavyweight titles, changing into the promotion’s third simultaneous two-division champion.
Brendan Allen hails from Louisiana, the place he started Brazilian jiu-jitsu at 13 and competed in wrestling and boxing in highschool. After successful the 2015 IMMAF beginner middleweight title, he turned professional and twice held the Legacy Preventing Alliance middleweight championship. Allen earned his UFC contract by way of Dana White’s Contender Sequence in 2019 and established himself as a finisher with submissions and TKO victories.
Since becoming a member of the UFC, de Ridder has secured 5 straight octagon victories. He opened with a third-round arm-triangle choke over Gerald Meerschaert, adopted by a first-round rear-naked choke in opposition to Kevin Holland. At UFC on ESPN 67 in Could 2025, he knee-TKO’d Bo Nickal, incomes Efficiency of the Night time honors. Most not too long ago, de Ridder edged former champion Robert Whittaker by cut up resolution in July, reinforcing his top-five rating.
De Ridder’s line close to -170 to -185 precisely displays his grappling edge and undefeated UFC document. Nonetheless, Allen’s cardio benefit, latest momentum, and underdog pricing round +140 supply viable betting alternatives. For bettors searching for worth, focusing on resolution markets, various unique props equivalent to late-round finishes, or Allen moneyline earlier than stay betting changes deserves consideration.
In a matchup outlined by grappling on one aspect and tempo on the opposite, the betting market mirrors each fighters’ paths to victory. Anticipate line shifts as weigh-ins conclude and public backing intensifies, however for now, de Ridder stays the protected play, whereas Allen stands because the highest-value underdog.
