The featherweight headliner between Diego Lopes and Jean Silva has seen a gentle shift in market sentiment over struggle week, reflecting altering perceptions of every fighter’s probabilities. Beneath is a chronological overview of key odds and the way they advanced from opening by struggle week to the most recent obtainable traces.
Opening Strains (Early Week)
On the outset of struggle week (September 8), websites, comparable to top online casinos, listed Diego Lopes as a +220 underdog and Jean Silva as a –260 favourite. These opening odds set the baseline for bettors’ preliminary impressions, positioning Silva as a powerful favourite based mostly on his unbeaten UFC run and ending charge, whereas Lopes carried underdog worth following his title-shot loss to Alexander Volkanovski.
Midweek Changes
By September 10, markets confirmed Lopes drifting barely to +185 and Silva firming to -225. This motion recommended a modest inflow of assist on Lopes regardless of Silva’s favored standing, probably pushed by bettors backing Lopes’s grappling edge and veteran expertise.
Concurrently, Duelbits on September 11 reported Lopes at +190 and Silva at –244, indicating Silva remained the stronger money-line favourite whereas Lopes’s underdog worth hovered within the +185 to +220 vary.
Late-Week Fluctuations
Also on September 11, some sites opened Lopes at +195 and Silva at –238. As fight night neared, Silva’s line slowly shortened, moving from –260 to a midweek low near –244 before settling around –238.
Current Odds (Fight Eve)
In the most recent lines (September 12), shows Silva at –230 and Lopes at +190. Overall, Silva’s favorite price has tightened from –260 open to around –230 current, while Lopes has seen his underdog line shift from +220 initially to roughly +190 today.
-Silva’s Shortening Line: The shift from –260 to –230 suggests consistent backing of Silva throughout the week, reflecting bettor confidence in his unbeaten UFC streak and high finishing percentage.
-Lopes’s Drift then Support: Lopes opened at +220, briefly improved to +185 on some sites, then settled around +190. Early bets on Lopes may have been driven by contrarian value hunters expecting a competitive grappling contest.
-Market Consensus: Despite minor oscillations, the consensus holds Silva as a solid favorite, with the market assigning him roughly a 70–75% implied win probability. Lopes’s implied chance ranges near 34–38%, offering moderate underdog appeal.
