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    You are at:Home»Sports Trends»The 10 riskiest contracts in NFL free agency
    Sports Trends

    The 10 riskiest contracts in NFL free agency

    Ironside Sports MediaBy Ironside Sports MediaMarch 12, 2025No Comments8 Mins Read
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    Eric Williams

    NFL Reporter

    The authorized tampering interval started Monday, and with that, the cash went flying. Practically the entire 30 greatest free brokers from our top-100 list got here off the board inside these first 24 hours. 

    Historical past has proven that spending huge in free company can lead to more wins, but not necessarily Super Bowls. After all, lavish spending may backfire.

    With that, listed below are our 10 riskiest contracts from free company up to now. 

    RELATED: Winners and losers of NFL free agency’s legal tampering period

    10. Sam Darnold, QB, Seattle Seahawks
    Contract: Three years, $100.5 million, $55 million assured 

    The deal itself might be an excellent one for the Seahawks. His $33.5 million common wage locations him No. 18 amongst beginning QBs. Primarily, GM John Schneider bought Darnold for 2 years and $55 million, after which they’ll transfer if issues do not work out after that. It additionally does not prohibit Seattle from drafting a developmental quarterback as insurance coverage for the Darnold experiment.

    The chance lies in whether or not Darnold will really be an improve over Geno Smith, who gained not less than 9 video games in every of the previous three seasons and made two Professional Bowls.

    Smith would have value the Seahawks (maybe considerably) extra to retain, and Schneider balked at paying an older QB more cash. However there’s strain on Schneider & Co. to win now after lacking the playoffs the previous two seasons, which makes a few of their different strikes this offseason much more curious. Darnold was extensively seen as the highest QB in free company following his profession 12 months with the Vikings. After all, Justin Jefferson and Kevin O’Connell won’t be becoming a member of him in Seattle, and the information on Darnold earlier than Minnesota just isn’t good. There will be intense scrutiny on his play this season, particularly compared with how Smith fares with the Raiders.

    9. Talanoa Hufanga, S, Denver Broncos
    Contract: Three years, $45 million, $20 million assured 

    Hufanga has been a Professional Bowl-level participant who can enhance Denver’s play within the again finish defensively. The query is, will he constantly keep on the sphere? Hufanga performed in simply seven video games final 12 months on account of wrist and ankle accidents after lacking the final seven video games of 2023 with a torn ACL. He is solely 25, nevertheless, so it is potential his greatest soccer is forward of him. 

    8. Justin Fields, QB, New York Jets 
    Contract: Two years, 40 million, $30 million assured 

    Will the third staff be the allure for Fields? He is nonetheless solely 26 years previous and gives upside together with his sturdy arm and athleticism. However it’s telling that he began simply six video games final season earlier than the Steelers benched him in favor of Russell Wilson. After 4 seasons, he’s 14-30 as a starter and has a profession 83.9 passer ranking. 

    Now, he is the starter for a first-time head coach (the defensive-minded Aaron Glenn) and takes over a staff that simply struggled with an growing old Aaron Rodgers. The Jets, after all, have not gotten constantly good QB play in almost 20 years.

    7. DK Metcalf, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers 
    Contract: 5 years, $150 million, 

    Simply 27 years previous, Metcalf is a mismatch downside on the perimeter who offers most effort and is a terror as a stalk blocker within the operating sport. His addition offers the Steelers two explosive playmakers on the perimeter, together with George Pickens. Buying and selling a second-rounder for Metcalf made quite a lot of sense. The objection comes from paying him one of many highest contracts for a receiver when it doesn’t match his manufacturing. 

    Over the previous two seasons, Metcalf is No. 15 within the league in receiving yards (2,106), tied for No. 20 in receiving touchdowns (13) and No. 40 in receptions (132). He is additionally been one of the penalized receivers within the league and might have a little bit of a temperamental persona, so how he gels with one other distinctive persona in Pickens might be one thing to observe, though Mike Tomlin is a powerful persona and might deal with guys like that. 

    6. Aaron Banks, OL, Inexperienced Bay Packers
    Contract: 4 years, $77 million, $27 million assured

    Banks was one other within the mass exodus of 49ers, as they give the impression of being to construct a youthful roster. San Francisco offensive line coach Chris Foerster is without doubt one of the greatest within the enterprise at discovering and creating expertise. It is one of many causes the 49ers often don’t draft offensive linemen within the first spherical, as a substitute taking developmental prospects later within the draft. So, it’s kind of regarding when San Francisco chooses to not pay one in all its starters and permits them to hit free company. 

    5. Javon Kinlaw, DT, Washington Commanders
    Contract: Three years, $45 million, $30 million assured 

    Kinlaw’s expertise is plain. Washington GM Adam Peters is keenly conscious of that, having been within the entrance workplace for San Francisco when the 49ers chosen Kinlaw within the first spherical of the 2020 draft. The 27-year-old began all 17 video games for the Jets final season and proved to be an efficient pass-rusher inside. He might be getting into his prime, particularly after lacking important time in his first three seasons. However guaranteeing $30 million to a participant together with his normal lack of manufacturing is a curious determination for a staff anticipated to compete for a Tremendous Bowl in 2025.

    4. Josh Sweat, DE, Arizona Cardinals 
    Contract: 4 years, $76 million, $41 million assured 

    Sweat turned an impressive Tremendous Bowl efficiency through which he completed with 2.5 sacks into a giant pay day. The transfer to Arizona reunites him with former Eagles defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon. The Cardinals want pass-rush assist, and Sweat offers them a reputable rusher off the sting. However it stays to be seen if Sweat can create constant strain with out defensive tackles like Jalen Carter and Milton Williams inflicting havoc up the center. After being part of constantly loaded defensive strains in Philly, Sweat will obtain extra consideration from opposing offenses than he is used to. He additionally has only one double-digit sack season in his seven-year profession. 

    3. Jaylon Moore, OT, Kansas City Chiefs 
    Contract: Two years, $30 million, $21.2 million assured 

    Moore was a fill-in final 12 months for future Corridor of Fame left deal with Trent Williams, however went largely unused the earlier three years in San Francisco. Now he is the blindside protector for the very best participant in soccer. No strain, proper? Moore has allowed simply two sacks in 279 pass-blocking snaps over the previous two seasons. The potential is there for Moore to blossom right into a dependable, full-time starter. However for a staff that struggled to constantly defend Patrick Mahomes within the Tremendous Bowl, it is a important danger to place his well being within the fingers of such an unproven participant. 

    2. Milton Williams, DT, New England Patriots 
    Contract: 4 years, $104 million, $55 million assured 

    Williams parlayed a giant Tremendous Bowl efficiency and a pleasant 2024 marketing campaign into the NFL’s third-largest contract for a defensive deal with. His 12.5% strain fee was fourth amongst defensive tackles with not less than 100 pass-rush makes an attempt final season, per Subsequent Gen Stats. However can the Patriots anticipate to get that form of manufacturing from Williams because the lead man pushing the pocket? The 25-year-old Williams wasn’t a full-time starter final 12 months, taking part in simply 48% of the defensive snaps for the Eagles. It is going to be attention-grabbing to see what his manufacturing is like with a rise in taking part in time — and with out Jalen Carter alongside him.

    1. Dan Moore, OT, Tennessee Titans 
    Contract: 4 years, $82 million, $50 million assured 

    Moore allowed 12 sacks in 615 cross block snaps final 12 months with the Steelers, in accordance with Professional Soccer Focus. The Titans rewarded that efficiency with the very best contract for an offensive deal with on this free-agent cycle. The Titans allowed 52 sacks as a staff final season, tied for fifth-most within the league. They’re betting huge on Moore to not solely anchor an enchancment however function their blindside protector for the foreseeable future. By the best way, who might be underneath heart for the Titans?

    Eric D. Williams has reported on the NFL for greater than a decade, masking the Los Angeles Rams for Sports activities Illustrated, the Los Angeles Chargers for ESPN and the Seattle Seahawks for the Tacoma Information Tribune. Observe him on X at @eric_d_williams.

    Need nice tales delivered proper to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, and observe leagues, groups and gamers to obtain a personalised e-newsletter day by day!


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